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One more Bounce: The week ahead - June 14-18 2010 Print E-mail
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Weekly Forecast
Sunday, 13 June 2010 08:00

PLimageThis past week  the markets started out breaking down as we expected but on Tuesday the 1040 area held on the SPX printing a short term double bottom. It looked like the markets would continue lower after Wednesday's close but instead they broke up. There was some news (or a rumor as we can not verify it) on Thursday that GS had purchased 1,000 contracts of the full SPX which started the short covering rally causing the market to break out to the upside and continue higher on Friday.

The markets are now poised to move higher but we will be looking for a lower high on a longer time frame than we had expected and much lower prices in the future. It may take a week or the rest of this month for this bounce to fail but we believe that the move down that started on April 26th going through this past Tuesday June 8th was simply the first leg down.

Gold (via GLD) moved up above the 120 area but failed to follow through and simply made a double top. If the 117.50 area fails on any move down gold will likely head much lower down to the 115 or even 112 area before bouncing and making it's real move back up.

 

The U.S. Dollar also printed a false break out above the 88.45 area and is now sitting on the 20 day sma. A break below will very likley take it down the 85 area before moving back up to new highs.

clickforcharts


 

The Nasdaq Composite Index

compqx13


Standard and Poors SP-500 index

SPX13

The Dow Jones Industrial Averages Index

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GOLD - via the GLD

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The US Dollar (Dollar Index )

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